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Red77
206723.6
13821.6
271217.7
Blue69
105819.8
662013.2
404819.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6549204060801001207769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#10
23.60.9
22.223.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End7.4
red by 3.7
1058
#29
19.81.4
18.219.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End7.2
Second
138
#14
21.61.1
20.221.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End11.3
red by 2.5
4048
#15
19.01.7
18.019.7
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End5.2
Third
2712
#16
17.70.9
16.817.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End5.4
red by 4.5
6620
#30
13.21.4
11.813.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned