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Red83
24015.5
22643.5
842419.1
Blue29
15288.7
413023.9
99986.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68320204060801001201408329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#1
43.51.4
39.040.4
Auto8.8
Teleop21.8
End12.9
red by 19.6
23.90.5
30.530.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End7.1
Second
8424
#12
19.11.4
6.98.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End5.2
red by 10.4
1528
#21
8.70.5
1.40.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End0.2
Third
240
#6
15.51.4
12.714.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End5.5
red by 9.0
9998
#18
6.50.9
4.94.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed