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Red44
364126.7
6810.2
872816.6
Blue86
353857.1
365519.9
833221.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310301504486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#15
26.70.8
27.827.0
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End3.6
blue by 30.4
57.10.3
50.750.4
Auto12.6
Teleop32.3
End12.2
Second
8728
#11
16.60.8
16.816.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End3.4
blue by 4.4
8332
#16
21.00.3
27.026.7
Auto2.1
Teleop10.1
End8.8
Third
68
#20
10.20.8
11.510.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End1.0
blue by 9.7
3655
#14
19.90.3
12.812.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed74%Hangar oddsEarned