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Red28
50341.9
88325.3
15288.7
Blue33
24015.5
43958.2
99986.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions471904060801002833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
41.90.8
37.336.5
Auto13.0
Teleop18.8
End10.1
red by 26.5
240
#6
15.50.4
14.014.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End5.5
Second
1528
#21
8.70.8
0.90.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End0.2
red by 0.6
4395
#17
8.20.4
5.15.5
Auto5.1
Teleop1.1
End1.9
Third
8832
#19
5.30.8
2.31.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.3
End0.9
blue by 1.2
9998
#18
6.50.6
4.04.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed