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Red49
24013.0
15282.9
102335.7
Blue115
30236.9
283426.0
364134.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57116010015049115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.8
42.541.7
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End4.0
blue by 1.2
302
#3
36.90.7
38.238.9
Auto7.6
Teleop20.7
End8.6
Second
240
#11
13.00.8
15.614.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End3.7
blue by 21.1
34.10.7
31.932.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End8.9
Third
1528
#16
2.90.8
2.51.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End-1.8
blue by 23.0
26.00.7
30.931.5
Auto10.2
Teleop10.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned