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Red60
54817.3
520531.1
24013.0
Blue103
842318.4
22642.4
5137.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6689020408010012014060103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.3
30.430.1
Auto7.8
Teleop17.6
End5.6
blue by 11.3
226
#2
42.41.5
32.033.5
Auto6.7
Teleop21.2
End14.5
Second
548
#13
17.30.3
19.319.0
Auto7.8
Teleop5.4
End4.0
blue by 19.8
51
#4
37.11.5
33.835.3
Auto7.0
Teleop20.4
End9.7
Third
240
#11
13.00.3
14.814.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End3.7
blue by 5.4
8423
#10
18.41.5
14.516.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsEarned