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Red107
5137.1
54817.3
833233.0
Blue86
283426.0
842318.4
102335.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89915060708010011012010786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#4
37.10.4
36.436.8
Auto7.0
Teleop20.4
End9.7
red by 1.5
35.70.1
37.537.5
Auto7.5
Teleop24.1
End4.0
Second
33.00.4
32.332.6
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End9.7
red by 7.0
26.00.1
27.827.8
Auto10.2
Teleop10.7
End5.1
Third
548
#13
17.30.4
17.017.4
Auto7.8
Teleop5.4
End4.0
blue by 1.1
8423
#10
18.40.1
18.418.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.3