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Red138
22642.4
24013.0
353845.3
Blue98
364134.1
30236.9
2176.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077905015020013898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.9
43.944.8
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End10.5
red by 8.4
302
#3
36.90.4
37.638.0
Auto7.6
Teleop20.7
End8.6
Second
226
#2
42.40.9
41.042.0
Auto6.7
Teleop21.2
End14.5
red by 8.3
34.10.4
34.334.8
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End8.9
Third
240
#11
13.00.9
11.612.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End3.7
red by 6.7
217
#15
6.30.4
5.96.3
Auto5.2
Teleop1.2
End-0.0