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Red60
107320.4
490921.0
50917.1
Blue61
31920.9
490531.1
47617.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626640507080901006061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.0
20.921.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End7.2
blue by 10.1
31.10.1
31.631.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.9
End8.6
Second
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End8.2
blue by 0.5
319
#14
20.90.1
21.421.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End7.1
Third
509
#23
17.10.0
17.117.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End10.3
red by 9.4
4761
#21
7.70.1
8.28.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.0
End4.8