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Red65
23828.9
287726.7
234210.8
Blue111
115327.1
8828.9
147420.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6985406010012014065111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#10
28.90.0
29.028.9
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End7.1
red by 0.1
88
#4
28.90.6
29.229.8
Auto6.1
Teleop12.6
End10.2
Second
26.70.0
26.826.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End9.8
blue by 0.4
27.10.6
27.528.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.1
End9.3
Third
2342
#29
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End5.3
blue by 9.7
1474
#17
20.50.6
20.921.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End6.8