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Red68
23828.9
287726.7
234210.8
Blue49
34812.5
573521.2
620116.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6851204060801006849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#10
28.90.1
27.427.5
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End7.1
red by 7.7
5735
#11
21.20.0
21.121.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End5.3
Second
26.70.1
25.225.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End9.8
red by 10.6
6201
#18
16.20.0
16.116.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End7.9
Third
2342
#29
10.80.1
9.39.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End5.3
blue by 1.7
348
#12
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End3.5