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Red104
23828.9
287726.7
234210.8
Blue52
34812.5
573521.2
620116.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69502040608010010452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#10
28.90.9
27.528.4
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End7.1
red by 7.7
5735
#11
21.20.1
21.121.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End5.3
Second
26.70.9
25.326.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End9.8
red by 10.6
6201
#18
16.20.1
16.116.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End7.9
Third
2342
#29
10.80.9
9.410.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End5.3
blue by 1.7
348
#12
12.50.1
12.512.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End3.5