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Red44
147420.5
620116.2
416911.1
Blue77
50917.1
581345.2
782213.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2362040801004477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1474
#17
20.51.9
10.011.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End6.8
blue by 24.7
45.21.3
32.834.2
Auto12.3
Teleop20.4
End12.5
Second
6201
#18
16.21.9
10.312.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End7.9
blue by 0.9
509
#23
17.12.2
11.513.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End10.3
Third
4169
#26
11.11.9
6.38.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End6.9
blue by 2.3
7822
#27
13.52.2
8.911.1
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsEarned