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Red10
34812.5
234210.8
55638.0
Blue44
57526.8
107320.4
196511.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33270102040506070801044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#12
12.51.6
7.66.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End3.5
blue by 7.9
20.41.1
9.110.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End8.2
Second
2342
#29
10.82.7
13.110.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.3
End5.3
blue by 0.9
1965
#19
11.71.1
7.38.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.6
End5.1
Third
5563
#24
8.02.7
9.87.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End1.3
red by 1.2
5752
#31
6.81.1
9.510.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsEarned