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Red97
545911.7
176110.2
12543.1
Blue50
8828.9
17515.7
28769.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533602060801009750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
43.12.5
32.635.1
Auto10.7
Teleop20.6
End11.9
red by 14.2
88
#4
28.90.7
17.217.9
Auto6.1
Teleop12.6
End10.2
Second
5459
#25
11.74.1
5.49.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End4.6
blue by 4.0
175
#16
15.71.1
9.110.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End4.4
Third
1761
#28
10.24.1
9.813.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End3.0
red by 1.3
2876
#36
9.01.1
9.710.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed