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Red48
24610.4
490531.1
287726.7
Blue45
856710.9
47617.7
395813.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462104060801004845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.9
14.915.7
Auto8.6
Teleop13.9
End8.6
red by 18.1
3958
#15
13.02.4
14.617.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End5.2
Second
26.70.9
18.219.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End9.8
red by 15.9
8567
#39
10.92.4
8.310.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.2
End5.2
Third
246
#20
10.40.9
7.28.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End5.8
red by 2.7
4761
#21
7.71.5
0.31.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned