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Red58
65295.6
620116.2
23828.9
Blue28
147420.5
431111.7
63245.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3838203050605828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#10
28.91.1
20.221.3
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End7.1
red by 8.4
1474
#17
20.50.8
11.911.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End6.8
Second
6201
#18
16.21.1
12.313.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End7.9
red by 4.5
4311
#22
11.70.8
15.514.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End3.9
Third
6529
#33
5.61.1
3.24.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 0.1
6324
#34
5.70.8
8.27.4
Auto0.4
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsMissed