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Red27
65295.6
490921.0
454615.5
Blue27
782213.5
28769.0
490531.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37421020305060702727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End7.2
blue by 10.1
31.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.9
End8.6
Second
4546
#13
15.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End0.9
red by 2.1
7822
#27
13.5
Auto5.3
Teleop3.5
End4.6
Third
6529
#33
5.6
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 3.4
2876
#36
9.0
Auto4.6
Teleop2.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed