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Red52
196511.7
271318.8
34812.5
Blue107
24610.4
12543.1
115327.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286902040608010012052107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.82.0
12.614.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End4.2
blue by 24.3
125
#2
43.12.9
37.340.2
Auto10.7
Teleop20.6
End11.9
Second
348
#12
12.51.4
8.29.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End3.5
blue by 14.6
27.14.5
14.819.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.1
End9.3
Third
1965
#19
11.72.3
10.713.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.6
End5.1
red by 1.3
246
#20
10.44.2
7.311.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsEarned