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Red47
107320.4
490921.0
28769.0
Blue15
620116.2
856710.9
24610.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392101030506070804715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.8
17.618.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End7.2
red by 4.8
6201
#18
16.20.8
10.29.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End7.9
Second
20.41.4
6.88.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.5
End8.2
red by 9.6
8567
#39
10.93.3
10.77.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.2
End5.2
Third
2876
#36
9.01.4
10.411.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.4
End2.0
blue by 1.4
246
#20
10.40.8
3.93.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed