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Red46
23828.9
57526.8
242312.2
Blue6
63245.7
65295.6
31920.9
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3637102030506070466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#10
28.91.3
15.516.8
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End7.1
red by 8.0
319
#14
20.93.1
16.413.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End7.1
Second
2423
#35
12.21.3
9.310.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End2.6
red by 6.5
6324
#34
5.73.1
10.37.2
Auto0.4
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Third
5752
#31
6.81.3
9.610.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End1.4
red by 1.3
6529
#33
5.63.1
7.44.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed