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Red49
19512.4
36236.5
715320.8
Blue22
977.9
314616.4
46716.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36490204060804922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.2
19.118.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End6.8
red by 4.2
467
#14
16.61.5
19.417.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.5
Second
195
#20
12.40.2
7.67.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End4.0
blue by 4.0
3146
#21
16.42.5
18.616.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.0
End6.4
Third
3623
#35
6.50.2
8.48.2
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End3.6
blue by 1.4
97
#19
7.92.5
6.33.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsMissed