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Red63
271212.7
102717.6
216837.3
Blue68
17731.7
365415.0
662012.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77522040601001206368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.4
35.635.2
Auto11.5
Teleop15.5
End10.3
red by 5.7
177
#4
31.71.1
29.430.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.8
End10.6
Second
1027
#10
17.60.4
17.016.6
Auto4.7
Teleop1.5
End11.4
red by 2.6
15.01.1
12.713.8
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.0
End11.5
Third
2712
#32
12.70.6
16.215.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End2.7
red by 0.6
6620
#13
12.11.8
9.511.3
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsEarned