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Red39
365415.0
199111.2
17812.0
Blue40
19512.4
712716.4
86048.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45310204060803940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.00.4
15.615.2
Auto3.6
Teleop-0.0
End11.5
blue by 1.3
7127
#15
16.40.8
13.414.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End5.0
Second
178
#33
12.00.4
12.812.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.3
blue by 0.5
195
#20
12.40.7
9.710.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Third
1991
#25
11.20.4
12.011.6
Auto6.3
Teleop4.5
End0.5
red by 3.1
8604
#28
8.20.7
7.98.7
Auto4.5
Teleop1.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsEarned