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Red56
172911.7
662012.1
346412.2
Blue90
534711.5
174023.2
22825.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386220801005690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#24
12.20.1
14.914.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End-0.3
blue by 13.7
228
#6
25.91.5
22.924.4
Auto7.8
Teleop8.2
End9.8
Second
6620
#13
12.10.1
12.812.9
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 11.1
23.21.8
23.125.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End3.8
Third
1729
#18
11.70.1
11.411.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End3.8
red by 0.2
5347
#27
11.51.8
9.411.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned