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Red40
619.8
102717.6
79076.8
Blue53
46716.6
715320.8
672312.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34540204060804053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1027
#10
17.60.2
16.916.8
Auto4.7
Teleop1.5
End11.4
blue by 3.2
20.80.0
20.520.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End6.8
Second
61
#34
9.80.2
10.310.1
Auto3.9
Teleop1.9
End4.1
blue by 6.8
467
#14
16.60.0
15.615.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.5
Third
7907
#30
6.80.2
7.37.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 5.8
6723
#11
12.60.0
12.312.4
Auto5.6
Teleop3.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed63%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned