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Red70
207914.7
395819.4
107326.9
Blue38
689510.5
173514.7
332317.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45392060807038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.91.6
20.422.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End9.5
red by 9.9
3323
#15
17.00.5
14.814.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End3.8
Second
3958
#13
19.41.6
13.014.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End8.7
red by 4.7
1735
#30
14.70.5
12.912.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End3.5
Third
2079
#21
14.71.8
8.09.8
Auto5.2
Teleop3.7
End5.8
red by 4.2
6895
#36
10.50.5
9.99.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed