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Red67
226226.3
500013.4
490535.2
Blue55
854421.2
870810.7
362312.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8325040601001201406755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.5
31.130.6
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End11.2
red by 14.0
8544
#18
21.21.3
17.919.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.5
End7.1
Second
2262
#16
26.30.5
23.923.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End12.9
red by 14.2
3623
#26
12.11.6
6.58.1
Auto0.9
Teleop4.3
End6.8
Third
5000
#33
13.40.5
15.214.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 2.7
8708
#28
10.71.3
6.47.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsEarned