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Red39
715320.2
500013.4
135012.4
Blue89
234215.8
237030.0
23723.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546302040801001201403989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7153
#14
20.20.9
23.022.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.1
End4.5
blue by 9.8
30.01.8
25.527.3
Auto8.4
Teleop12.7
End9.0
Second
5000
#33
13.40.9
15.114.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 10.2
237
#5
23.61.8
21.323.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Third
1350
#32
12.40.9
13.712.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End2.9
blue by 3.4
2342
#25
15.81.8
11.012.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed77%Hangar oddsEarned