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Red115
404122.8
107326.9
174030.5
Blue72
490535.2
13824.4
59628.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84735060809010011012011572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.52.3
28.330.5
Auto8.9
Teleop17.3
End4.2
blue by 4.7
35.20.2
34.134.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End11.2
Second
26.92.3
27.830.0
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End9.5
red by 2.5
138
#8
24.40.2
25.425.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.2
End14.1
Third
4041
#20
22.82.3
21.223.5
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End5.5
red by 14.7
5962
#29
8.10.2
10.110.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned