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Red62
870810.7
237030.0
584615.7
Blue60
862613.3
23723.6
395819.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616040507080906260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.1
28.528.6
Auto8.4
Teleop12.7
End9.0
red by 6.4
237
#5
23.60.2
23.123.3
Auto8.3
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Second
5846
#23
15.70.1
16.316.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End4.3
blue by 3.8
3958
#13
19.40.2
19.519.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.4
End8.7
Third
8708
#28
10.70.1
12.012.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 2.5
8626
#35
13.30.2
14.214.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
52%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned