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Red42
88838.4
320519.5
500013.4
Blue61
40348.3
226226.3
404122.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3864020801001204261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#27
19.50.2
17.918.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.7
End6.7
blue by 6.8
2262
#16
26.30.3
26.326.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End12.9
Second
5000
#33
13.40.2
13.313.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 9.3
4041
#20
22.80.3
22.923.1
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End5.5
Third
8883
#34
8.40.2
8.28.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End2.8
red by 0.1
4034
#37
8.30.3
8.08.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned