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Red88
346736.3
632933.1
79076.9
Blue91
456426.1
581330.0
80239.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826740601001208891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.3
36.036.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End13.6
red by 6.3
30.00.6
29.630.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.5
End8.5
Second
33.10.3
32.833.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.1
End12.8
red by 7.0
26.10.6
25.726.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End9.6
Third
7907
#19
6.90.3
6.66.8
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.9
blue by 2.9
8023
#24
9.80.6
9.39.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End4.5