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Red0
346736.3
632933.1
79076.9
Blue63
456426.1
581330.0
80239.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83690204060100120063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#3DQ
36.30.0
36.336.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End13.6
red by 6.3
30.00.2
30.230.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.5
End8.5
Second
6329
#1DQ
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.1
End12.8
red by 7.0
26.10.2
26.326.1
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End9.6
Third
7907
#19DQ
6.90.0
6.86.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.9
blue by 2.9
8023
#24
9.80.2
9.99.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End4.5