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Red104
652812.3
168452.9
283226.7
Blue106
691420.3
50345.7
608125.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96956080120140104106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.2
52.052.3
Auto12.0
Teleop30.5
End10.4
red by 7.2
503
#1
45.70.4
44.945.3
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.0
Second
26.70.2
25.826.0
Auto5.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
red by 1.4
6081
#10
25.30.4
24.424.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End3.5
Third
6528
#19
12.30.2
12.112.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 8.0
6914
#13
20.30.4
19.519.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End12.9