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Red131
549819.1
168452.9
283226.7
Blue115
691420.3
50345.7
608125.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049520406080120140160180131115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.7
52.352.9
Auto12.0
Teleop30.5
End10.4
red by 7.2
503
#1
45.70.5
45.345.7
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.0
Second
26.70.7
26.026.7
Auto5.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
red by 1.4
6081
#10
25.30.5
24.825.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End3.5
Third
19.10.7
18.419.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.2
End10.9
blue by 1.2
6914
#13
20.30.5
19.920.3
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End12.9