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Red50
652812.3
608125.3
317527.4
Blue75
22648.0
686115.0
262019.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659802040801201401605075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#11
27.41.0
34.433.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End2.9
blue by 20.6
226
#3
48.01.4
38.937.5
Auto8.2
Teleop28.1
End11.7
Second
6081
#10
25.31.0
19.818.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End3.5
red by 5.8
19.41.4
27.426.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End7.9
Third
6528
#19
12.31.0
11.010.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 2.8
6861
#17
15.01.4
21.620.3
Auto6.0
Teleop3.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsMissed62%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsEarned