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Red78
168452.9
413033.1
999514.5
Blue44
283226.7
557711.7
24711.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions974202060801201401607844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.9
45.044.1
Auto12.0
Teleop30.5
End10.4
red by 26.2
26.70.4
28.027.6
Auto5.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
Second
33.10.9
29.828.9
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End11.2
red by 21.4
5577
#18
11.70.4
5.44.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End5.3
Third
9995
Unranked
14.51.5
16.715.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End6.5
red by 3.2
247
#15
11.30.4
13.312.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsEarned