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Red75
691420.3
50345.7
86231.3
Blue18
549819.1
509021.4
2809.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103380501507518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
45.70.8
39.338.5
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.0
red by 24.3
5090
#16
21.41.6
20.819.1
Auto8.2
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Second
862
#5
31.30.8
32.431.5
Auto9.3
Teleop18.0
End4.1
red by 12.2
19.11.6
17.916.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.2
End10.9
Third
6914
#13
20.30.8
15.915.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End12.9
red by 10.9
280
#14
9.51.6
4.12.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsMissed