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Red32
360414.9
691420.3
283226.7
Blue57
999514.5
509021.4
262019.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695602040801001201401603257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.72.4
27.925.6
Auto5.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
red by 5.3
5090
#16
21.40.2
18.518.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Second
6914
#13
20.32.4
14.512.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End12.9
red by 0.9
19.40.2
26.426.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End7.9
Third
3604
#20
14.92.4
21.018.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End6.1
red by 0.3
9995
Unranked
14.50.3
15.214.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsEarned