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Qual 162022 Big Bang!
Red87
50345.7
86231.3
557711.7
Blue73
413033.1
652812.3
496723.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807002040601001201401608773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
45.71.0
37.8→38.8
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.0
red by 12.6
4130
#4
33.10.5
30.3→30.8
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End11.2
Second
862
#5
31.31.0
29.9→30.9
Auto9.3
Teleop18.0
End4.1
red by 8.3
4967
#12
23.00.5
23.9→24.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End7.8
Third
5577
#18
11.71.0
4.9→5.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End5.3
blue by 0.6
6528
#19
12.30.5
11.4→11.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned