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Red116
766029.5
721128.7
262018.3
Blue64
168429.1
83021.6
473718.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8273406010012014011664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#15
29.50.5
29.229.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.7
End2.1
red by 0.4
1684
#11
29.10.2
29.329.1
Auto6.1
Teleop14.3
End8.6
Second
28.70.5
28.529.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.5
End11.6
red by 7.2
830
#7
21.60.2
21.821.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Third
2620
#26
18.30.5
18.118.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End5.1
red by 0.3
4737
#28
18.00.2
18.218.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End3.3