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Red65
283430.7
170130.6
24016.6
Blue58
505029.8
24529.6
717413.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917740601001201406558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.5
32.632.1
Auto10.3
Teleop15.4
End5.0
red by 0.9
29.80.5
30.329.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End11.8
Second
30.60.5
32.532.0
Auto7.7
Teleop18.2
End4.7
red by 1.0
245
#3
29.60.5
30.029.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End11.1
Third
240
#17
16.60.5
18.417.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End6.0
red by 3.0
7174
#19
13.50.5
14.013.5
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3