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Red70
213719.4
872815.7
634416.5
Blue38
118923.2
81249.7
483811.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413701001502002507038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#12
19.42.1
13.615.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.6
End5.2
blue by 3.9
1189
#22
23.20.2
14.714.6
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End2.8
Second
6344
#30
16.52.1
14.316.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End8.3
red by 4.7
4838
#33
11.90.2
11.911.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End2.7
Third
8728
#14
15.72.1
10.412.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End5.8
red by 6.0
8124
#37
9.70.2
8.98.7
Auto5.2
Teleop0.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed