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Red76
717413.5
81517.0
170130.6
Blue55
661816.5
283430.7
12311.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496030407080901007655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.6
25.527.1
Auto7.7
Teleop18.2
End4.7
blue by 0.1
30.70.0
29.028.9
Auto10.3
Teleop15.4
End5.0
Second
815
#18
17.01.6
11.913.5
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End2.5
red by 0.6
6618
#24
16.50.0
16.316.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9
Third
7174
#19
13.51.6
10.512.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3
red by 1.8
123
#29
11.80.0
10.010.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsMissed