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Red67
483811.9
168429.1
851912.1
Blue61
84275.9
12311.8
436242.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5165204060801006761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#11
29.10.9
27.628.5
Auto6.1
Teleop14.3
End8.6
blue by 13.5
42.60.1
40.240.4
Auto14.5
Teleop15.5
End12.6
Second
8519
#31
12.10.9
11.812.7
Auto6.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
red by 0.3
123
#29
11.80.1
11.611.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End3.5
Third
4838
#33
11.91.2
10.411.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End2.7
red by 6.0
8427
#39
5.90.1
7.17.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsMissed