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Red33
661512.3
3138.9
24016.6
Blue105
283430.7
118923.2
170130.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37100020608012014016033105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
#17
16.60.7
20.519.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End6.0
blue by 14.2
30.71.3
30.832.1
Auto10.3
Teleop15.4
End5.0
Second
6615
#21
12.30.8
12.411.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End3.3
blue by 18.3
30.61.3
31.632.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.2
End4.7
Third
313
#34
8.90.8
10.09.2
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End2.4
blue by 14.4
1189
#22
23.21.6
23.224.8
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsMissed