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Red81
717413.5
168429.1
262018.3
Blue61
851912.1
505029.8
81517.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606240507080908161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#11
29.11.4
27.929.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.3
End8.6
blue by 0.8
29.80.2
29.329.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End11.8
Second
2620
#26
18.31.5
16.518.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End5.1
red by 1.3
815
#18
17.00.2
16.716.9
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End2.5
Third
7174
#19
13.51.4
11.913.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3
red by 1.4
8519
#31
12.10.2
11.912.1
Auto6.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned50%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsMissed