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Red24
24016.6
86239.6
605711.6
Blue36
722414.0
125014.8
668.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48402060802436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
#17
16.61.3
19.818.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End6.0
red by 1.8
1250
#20
14.80.5
15.314.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End3.3
Second
6057
#25
11.61.3
12.911.6
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End4.5
blue by 2.4
7224
#36
14.00.4
14.414.0
Auto6.3
Teleop4.2
End3.5
Third
8623
#23
9.61.5
11.19.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End3.0
red by 1.2
66
#35
8.40.5
8.98.4
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed