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Red16
360411.3
43901.3
125013.3
Blue57
283420.8
5489.7
283218.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34720501001501657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.31.4
17.315.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End4.2
blue by 7.4
20.80.4
22.622.2
Auto8.9
Teleop7.4
End4.4
Second
11.31.4
15.914.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End2.5
blue by 6.7
18.00.4
28.528.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Third
4390
#21
1.31.4
3.42.0
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.2
End0.6
blue by 8.5
548
#17
9.70.4
11.911.5
Auto5.9
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed62%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed